While a horse that goes wire to wire gets the same pace ratings as the race does, most horses pace ratings have to be adjusted by beaten lengths at various calls.

See the Video Click Here___

Now, while most pace theory/systems/methods, etc., concentrate on the individual runner, and how he fared at each call, either in fifths of seconds or in feet per second, few take into account the overall pace of the race, which basically means the fractions and final running time of the race. So let’s say a race was run in 22.3, 45.4 & 111.2, those figures would comprise the ‘pace’ of the race.

But for an individual horse, who may have been two lengths back at the 1st call, his time would be 23.0 at that call (using the 1 length = 1/5 of a second measurement), and one length back at the 2nd call, his time would be 46.0, and if he won the race his time would be 111.2, so his overall pace rating would be different than the pace of the race, likely higher than the overall pace of the race, as his closing time was superior (last fraction 25.2 as opposed to last race time fraction of 25.3).

But what if there were a way to combine the pace of the actual race with the pace of the individual runner, into one pace number, and then adjusting for certain variants, like comparing this runner’s time to the actual par times for fractions run at this track and at this distance, as well as charting his running style (Leaders, Chasers, Mid-Pack, Back) from previous races to predict his likely pace position today?

Well, one would think that you would be looking at a number that is very, very predictive.

And, that is exactly what we found when applying this theory to real races over a 191,000+ database study.

We call it Perfect Pace!,

How It Works

The Perfect Pace Program! analyzes several aspects of pace.  Working in the background are turn time calculations, final fraction considerations, 2nd and 3rd fraction time compared to par for today’s distance, jockey/trainer plus or minus points, etc.

(People often ask why we don’t show the background algorithms on the main screen.  The reason is that there simply is not enough room and with the various calculations receiving ‘weightings’ as far as importance goes it would be very confusing even if we could list them all.)

The software looks at the adjusted  pace of each horse’s last three races (averaged), and then draws a direct comparison to the total pace calculation of the the actual race (see above for a clearer explanation).  The TOT column is where the main selection(s) is made from points accumulated from the columns to the right which represent points of calls and beaten lengths.

Note that the LOWEST numbers are considered best, as they reflect a horse who was able to stay in close touch with the leader(s) or fractional times in his most recent races.

Note also the Comments column.  In this column you will find the reason why a horse did not qualify for a final rating.  Now, of course, some of these horses will run well, but overall we have found that recency, bad finishes without excuse in most recent race and low % jocks and trainers the best disqualifiers we tested.

The Perfect Pace Top Contender is normally the best overall play.  However, in the Pure Pace Leader box, 👉you will find lucrative opportunities as well and those are explained in the user’s guide.