Description

Question:  When Dr. Howard Sartin first introduced the concept of ‘Energy’ in his sophisticated thoroughbred pace/speed algorithms, did he account for ‘race shape’, i.e., best described as a ‘race flow’ tool that informs the handicapper if the race flow or race shape offered an advantage or disadvantage to specific types of horses in a race?

Answer:  Turns out he did not, but because he was basically programming in the ‘early’ days of coding handicapping software, that was likely too difficult a task back then.

Question:  When calculating Energy, i.e., does considering race shape make a significant difference?

Answer:  It makes all the difference in the world!  Every racehorse has different capabilities. Like humans, some excel at sprinting, whereas others are marathoners. Figuring out which is which, and how to pace them, can be the difference between faltering in the final furlough and taking home the Kentucky Derby’s $1.3 million winner’s payout.

Jockeys and trainers have traditionally relied on centuries of experience, data from previous races, and intuition to plan their races. 

👉👉But now, the ‘tech-savvy’ trainers/jockeys/owners can use these race shape models to plug in parameters for individual horses—like their unique aerobic capacities—to get custom racing strategies, from favorable pace scenarios to ideal racing distances.

One top New York trainer asked if there was a market for an app for the above purpose.  Well, Dan Ivory just created one, and it is called:

The Thoroughbred Conductive Energy Theorem!

And it uniquely combines the calculated energy a runner has displayed in recent races along with today’s likely race shape, a formula that produces above average prices at a high % rate because:

🤔Virtually nobody else at the racetrack has access to this information.

 

Dan tells us:  “Combining thoroughbred energy with race shape is one of the most powerful combinations of predictive factors I have researched.  While the Energy factor is extremely important, a race shape that is ‘Conducive’ to the horse’s running style promotes that runner’s chances.  I call it ‘Conductive’ Energy, because literally the race shape helps ‘conduct’ energy towards the runner whose running style fits the race shape.

“We also add in several other important handicapping factors, and as you can see from the examples below, TCET produces consistent results, great prices, a high average win mutuel ($9.71 @ a 34% win clip) and a high on the board hit rate.”

 

 

 

‘A bang-up job guys!  TCET easily exceeded my expectations.  The win rate is high, and the Value Plays hit at an extraordinarily high rate.  I really like this one!’  Jason Mosely, Houston, TX

‘The concept here is brilliant and the results are sensational.  This program is something a first time racetrack goer could use to exceed the results of very seasoned handicappers, like me, for example.  Good work!’  Bill Graves, Bronx, NY

‘Used this at Penn for three straight days and the top picks hit the board close to 84% of the time.  The Value Play is probably the best price play system I’ve seen.  While you won’t get a lot of $40+ winners, you get loads in the $12 to $30 range.  Thanks for this.’  Myron Byrnes, Sarasota, FL

‘I keep feeling I need to create another program for my customers after I see what you and Len are doing.  I never thought it was possible to program ‘race shape’ but here it is.  This is an amazing programming job.  I am truly jealous!’  Tom Console, Software Designer

One of the true beauties about handicapping software is that it can combine literally thousands of bits of information, and sort those bits of information to reach the end goal, i.e., select winning situations for the horseplayer. 

😓Imagine if you tried to do what this program does longhand.  You’d have to keep careful, exacting records of race shapes for every race every day.  You would have to analyze every horse’s running style, and then figure out if that style fit today’s race shape.  Maybe you could do it, if you didn’t mind spending 2 or 3 hours to figure a single race.

👉👉Or …. you could just click your mouse a couple of times and have the software do all the work for you in about 1/20th of a second. 

 

The Columns

R = # of Races program is looking at.

LAST = days since last race.

TOT = total points used from columns to the right.

Earnings = points earned for high per-race earnings.

SPE = points earned for speed figures that are above par for today’s race conditions.

WINPLACE = points earned for higher than average consistency.

SN1 = initial evaluation of Race Shape which measures race running positions.

SN2 = Secondary evaluation of Race Shape which measures turn times/final time/lengths gained.

SN3 = Measure of horse’s running style.  Points are earned for runners whose pace style fits today’s Race Shape.

So what you have here is a super sophisticated software program that measures one of the most critical, yet most ignored, factors in the game: Race Shape.

And TCET then weaves together a jigsaw puzzle of other handicapping factors, most critically running style in relation to Race Shape, and produces a consistent, high % tool that will brighten the remainder of your racetrack days.

The Thoroughbred Conductive Energy Theorem! is just $111.00, a great value for a highly sophisticated program. 

Call us at 1-800-696-0067

or order from our website.  And as always, if you are not happy with the program you can return it or trade for another.  Thanks for your patronage, Dave & Len